Dan Gardner is the author of "Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway". It's been hailed by Harvard's Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works, as "genuinely arresting... required reading for journalists, politicians, academics and anyone who listens to them."

Dan dips into the science of unpredictability and the psychology of certainty to show us how we can be much better predictors than the experts whose record is no better than dart-throwing monkeys.

Below is a short excerpt from Dan Gardner’s presentation at the Mackenzie Speakers Series. To view the full video of his presentation in its entirety, click here.

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